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Tournament Predictions

2017 National Clay Court Predictions

The Tennis Recruiting Network's forecasting models calculate the chance of each player reaching each round, taking into account the power rating of each player prior to the tournament's start date. Select the event you want to view below, and click on the column headers to change the table's sort order. The draws and results for this tournament can be found at the USTA TennisLink website: B18-16, G18, G16, B14, G14, B12, & G12.

Predictions After:

Finals

UPSETS	Previous Round	Totals Through Prev. Round	Current Round
Upsets by Rating	Higher Rated Player loses to Lower Rated Player
Total Matches	1	223	–
Predicted Upsets	0	47	–
Actual Upsets	1	50	–
Difference	-1	-3	–
Seeded Upsets	Higher Seed loses to Lower Seed or Unseeded Player
Total Matches	1	140	–
Predicted Upsets	1	34	–
Actual Upsets	0	44	–
Difference	+1	-10	–

Draw Line	Seed	Player Name	2nd Round	3rd Round	4th Round	5th Round	Quarter Finals	Semi Finals	Finals	WIN
57	17	A. Nefve	✔	✔	✔	✔³	✔	✔	✔³	✔²
195		R. Goetz	✔¹	✔	✔¹	✔³	✔¹	✔³	✔³	–
113	13	M. Beiler	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔¹	✔¹	–	–
160	8	M. Kiger	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔²	✔	–	–
256	2	H. Walker	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
65	3	R. Maciag	✔	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–
179		W. Grant	✔¹	✔	✔¹	✔	✔¹	–	–	–
29	33	N. Arimilli	✔	✔	✔	✔²	✔²	–	–	–
144	9	T. Sah	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
97	6	C. Haskins	✔	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–
234		A. Sanchez	✔	✔¹	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–
5	33	M. Sun	✔	✔	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–
164	33	J. Brailovsky	✔	✔	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–
220	33	B. Croyder	✔	✔²	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–
85	33	H. Cassone	✔	✔	✔³	✔³	–	–	–	–
35		O. Vasser	✔	✔³	✔³	✔²	–	–	–	–
49	15	M. Freeman	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
208	12	J. Pratt	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
21	33	C. Kingsley	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
44		RJ Fresen	✔	✔¹	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
109	33	T. McCormick	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
89	17	S. Wei	✔	✔	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
136	17	B. Frye	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
227		K. Poling	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
124		M. Militzer	✔	✔³	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
152	17	T. Zink	✔	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–
13	33	C. Gromley	✔	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
242		R. Jachuck	✔	✔¹	✔	–	–	–	–	–
212	33	I. Sturgill	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
189		J. Zucker	✔	✔³	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–
172	33	J. Gandolfo	✔	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–
75		J. Bode	✔²	✔³	✔²	–	–	–	–	–
224	5	T. Hilderbrand	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
17	11	J. Allen	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
216	17	M. Heller	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
105	17	K. Zhu	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
93	33	W. Howells	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
176	14	W. Peters	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
140	33	P. Maloney	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
200	17	R. Fu	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
37	33	N. Oberg	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
45	33	A. Kotzen	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
9	17	M. Rodriguez	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
104		N. Schachter	✔	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–	–
168	17	A. Pickens	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
81	16	B. Johnston	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
204	33	D. Pellerito	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
132	33	R. Chou	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
148	33	A. Rogers	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
188	33	K. Huynh	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
117	33	N. Dufort	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
184	17	M. Ferreira	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
125	33	N. Larichev	✔	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
3		E. Morris	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
252	33	H. Cacciatore	✔²	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
246		P. Fletchall	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
237		R. Wilson	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
27		A. Dhingra	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
62		D. Gale	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
78		M. Benson	✔³	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–
56		J. Lee	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
230		E. Fortier	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
154		B. Jacobson	✔²	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–
71		G. Conron	✔	✔³	–	–	–	–	–	–
33	7	J. Sands	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
1	1	B. Duo	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
248	17	E. Bynoe	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
218		B. Shi	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
240	10	M. Meier	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
73	17	R. Ciamarra	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
192	4	C. Alshon	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
121	17	C. Russell	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
232	17	B. Pelletier	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
41	17	P. Conklin	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
25	17	J. Speicher	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
53	33	J. Fishkin	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
88		J. Mercer	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
101	33	A. Rodriguez	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
155		M. Kurzban	✔¹	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
236	33	K. Smith	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
129		R. Benkaim	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
185		L. Horve	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
173		B. Winters	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
128		A. Sraberg	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
178		J. Beasley	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
69	33	J. Kelly	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
108		J. Kronenberg	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
120		G. Cacciatore	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
201		C. Nakayama	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
244	33	C. Sato	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
142		A. Fry	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
84		C. Thompson	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
226		R.J. Sands	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
161		W. Hamilton	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
158		F. Garner	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
68		H. Lieberman	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
79		H. Maughan	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
52		A. Bailey	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
112		C. Grande	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
7		E. Felcher	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
99		D. Gooch	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
92		R. Patil	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
31		J. Walsh	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
95		Z. Heaven	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
149		C. Gates	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
137		A. Esses	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
19		K. Allwardt	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
222		N. Williams	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
209		D. Kitayama	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
197		H. Wang	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
181		G. Fishkin	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
205		R. Lyn jr	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
23		Z. Elliott	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
165		D. Huttepain	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
11		P. Lazo	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
48		K. Arinc	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
63		S. Morris	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
194		W. Karpinski	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
169		J. Keitelman	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
249		R. Jurist	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
16		A. Pregel	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
134		M. Madabhushi	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
214		M. Medvedev	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
115		C. Aduru	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
60		J. Moldenhauer	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
40		S. Bozsik	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
253		A. Arocho	✔	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
145		S. Khalafallah	✔²	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
170		J. Ignatowich	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
127		S. Sun	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
111		N. Watson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
180	33	D. Mizrahi	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
196	33	H. Cacciatore	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
251		K. Sarita	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
61	33	D. Nuzhny	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
77	33	J. Xu	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
38		N. Ricklis	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
153		S. Gould	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
213		S. Kavarana	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
163		L. Vandecasteele	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
139		N. Lilienthal	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
138		B. Green	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
46		A. Mora	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
245		A. Guzhva	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
219		D. Krulig	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
76		B. Fenno	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
141		J. Randall	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
241		L. Smith	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
87		S. Block	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
166		D. Baturyn	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
51		W. Turchetta	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
123		V. Deo	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
28		A. Sriniketh	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
8		A. Scemanenco	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
43		S. Raina	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
217		D. Thompson	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
22		K. Yanaba	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
177		H. Foulkes	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
235		B. Keim	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
187		A. Gee	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
91		J. Holtmann	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
39		E. Jacobs	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
4		P. Frelinghuysen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
131		M. Green	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
203		L. McClelland	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
228		D. Belovs	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
229		R. Roegner	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
54		J. Carroll	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
107		B. Palmade	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
186		N. Ramirez	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
130		R. Kotnana	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
116		M. Haelen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
12		A. Gotlib	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
146		J. Tascher	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
83		Q. Fender	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
80		D. Stratakos	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
174		N. McKinney	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
94		D. Landa	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
110		C. Safran	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
238		C. Nash	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
96		J. Jhattu	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
198		T. Dillon	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
190		N. Meister	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
103		B. Finan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
24		B. Pham	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
118		C. Genschaw	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
20		A. Nguyen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
150		A. Fucci	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
233		M. Smith	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
32		P. Stearns	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
157		J. Dabek	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
14		J. Skalet	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
206		J. Yaffe	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
162		D. Lawley	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
6		A. Chakka	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
59		B. Mittleman	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
156	33	A. Exsted	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
86		J. Bortnick	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
211		A. Nakhjavan	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
202		M. Gonzalgo	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
225		B. Ash	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
55		K. Matsuno	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
70		C. Olsen	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
119		E. Carroll	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
126		M. Benavides	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
221		S. Aggarwal	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
30		N. Mora	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
147		B. Neuner	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
102		F. Torres	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
67		K. Jirasook	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
210		M. Mendez	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
243		C. Biernat	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
254		D. Woodland	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
47		O. Weaver	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
171		A. Verma	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
15		F. Wentling	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
100		W. Zordani	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
250		B. Forgus	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
36		C. Franks	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
133		N. Yarlagadda	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
72		R. Neale	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
182		B. Pham	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
193		B. Wheaton	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
64		R. Alkhafaji	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
255		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
2		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
10		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
82		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
98		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
239		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
90		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
247		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
106		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
34		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
191		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
58		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
151		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
199		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
159		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
50		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
175		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
183		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
167		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
42		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
207		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
122		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
74		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
18		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
114		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
231		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
223		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
26		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
143		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
66		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
135		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–
215		Bye	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–

✔ denotes an expected win
✔¹ denotes an expected win over a higher seeded player
✔² denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated player
✔³ denotes an unexpected win over a higher rated and higher seeded player

The idea for this analysis was inspired by Nate Silver's March Madness Predictions at FiveThirtyEight.com.

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